FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

293.31 – 382

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

345 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.1 ±11.7

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 199.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 84.75Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 9.55Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 516.7 ±12

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 30.15Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 347.86Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX 3.99Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 7174, 11455

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 7174, 11455

Auto

55.6 19%

Teleop

165.5 56%

Endgame

73.5 25%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8297, 27, 10659

/ 100 compat

Projected

382 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8297, 27, 10659

Auto

91.3 24%

Teleop

208.7 55%

Endgame

81.7 21%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score293.3pts

Blue projected score382pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.7
Score range: 258–417
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 749 vs event baseline 194.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.1Season APEX516.7

55.6Auto91.3

165.5Teleop208.7

73.5Endgame81.7

24Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	97
teleop	212	217
endgame	75	90
foul	0	0
total	345	404

Result

Final score

345 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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