FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

307.56 – 170.75

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

366 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 61.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.2 ±11.2

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 150.91Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 43.56Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 113.09Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292 ±12.2

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 27.88Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 49.74Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 93.13Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1189, 4768, 1481

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1189, 4768, 1481

Auto

53.1 17%

Teleop

185.3 61%

Endgame

66.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10664, 2832, 5843

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10664, 2832, 5843

Auto

29.1 17%

Teleop

99.6 59%

Endgame

39.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.55 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score307.6pts

Blue projected score170.8pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 136.8
Score range: 136–343
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 601 vs event baseline 192.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.2Season APEX292

53.1Auto29.1

185.3Teleop99.6

66.2Endgame39.8

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	50
teleop	217	135
endgame	57	50
foul	0	0
total	366	235

Result

Final score

366 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 61.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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