FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

275.48 – 129.14

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

342 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.6 ±11.7

6914Retro5ive

Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 77.17Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 170.67Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 27.64Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.7 ±12.8

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 80.24Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 27.01Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 21.89Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6914, 3414, 6099

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6914, 3414, 6099

Auto

39.8 15%

Teleop

170.9 62%

Endgame

63.3 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 123, 7145, 5467

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 123, 7145, 5467

Auto

35.9 28%

Teleop

60.3 47%

Endgame

33.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score275.5pts

Blue projected score129.1pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.3
Score range: 94–310
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 192.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

393.6Season APEX229.7

39.8Auto35.9

170.9Teleop60.3

63.3Endgame33

25Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	36
teleop	205	32
endgame	62	35
foul	0	0
total	342	103

Result

Final score

342 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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