FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.81 – 109.23

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

304 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 60 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.2 ±11.1

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 107.23Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 40.85Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 71.73Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228 ±13.3

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 7.62Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 14.02Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 87.59Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9572, 5559, 1250

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9572, 5559, 1250

Auto

41.6 19%

Teleop

115.3 53%

Endgame

62.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9205, 2604, 6861

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9205, 2604, 6861

Auto

5.9 6%

Teleop

64.3 61%

Endgame

34.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score219.8pts

Blue projected score109.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.6
Score range: 74–255
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 449 vs event baseline 191.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.2Season APEX228

41.6Auto5.9

115.3Teleop64.3

62Endgame34.4

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	34
teleop	164	43
endgame	70	68
foul	0	0
total	304	145

Result

Final score

304 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 60 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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