FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.35 – 152.44

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±13.3

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 35.42Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -9.37Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 20.3Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.9 ±12.8

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 1.25Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 113.08Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 38.11Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8426, 8623, 9735

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8426, 8623, 9735

Auto

27.7 63%

Teleop

2.6 6%

Endgame

13.7 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10590, 5533, 10672

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10590, 5533, 10672

Auto

29.1 19%

Teleop

71.1 47%

Endgame

50.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.4pts

Blue projected score152.4pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106.1
Score range: 11–187
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 193.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.9Season APEX237.9

27.7Auto29.1

2.6Teleop71.1

13.7Endgame50

123Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	21
teleop	33	80
endgame	14	33
foul	0	0
total	67	134

Result

Final score

67 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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