FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.71 – 160.14

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.8 ±13.3

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 9.65Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -21.61Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 38.67Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.1 ±12.7

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 54.65Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 21.52Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 83.97Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8427, 11361, 8115

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8427, 11361, 8115

Auto

18.2 66%

Teleop

15.6 56%

Endgame

-6.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4405, 5050, 7553

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 5050, 7553

Auto

22.8 14%

Teleop

82.7 51%

Endgame

55.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.7pts

Blue projected score160.1pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.4
Score range: -8–195
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 194.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.8Season APEX250.1

18.2Auto22.8

15.6Teleop82.7

-6.1Endgame55.2

55Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	27
teleop	11	50
endgame	18	27
foul	0	15
total	49	119

Result

Final score

49 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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