Qualification · Qualification 75
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
275.62 – 209.78
69%31%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
153 – 201
Prediction missed · off by 65.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.9 ±11.1
Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 98.26Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 19.75Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 157.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411 ±12.4
Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 21.64Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101Event APEX 17.56Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 170.58Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7174, 830, 6152
80
/ 100 compatProjected
275.6 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7174, 830, 6152
Auto
57.5 21%
Teleop
146.2 54%
Endgame
66.0 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5467, 7147, 3414
65
/ 100 compatProjected
209.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5467, 7147, 3414
Auto
53.3 25%
Teleop
118.9 57%
Endgame
37.9 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score275.6pts
Blue projected score209.8pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 65.8
- Score range
- 175–311
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
483.9Season APEX411
57.5Auto53.3
146.2Teleop118.9
66Endgame37.9
0Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 58 |
| teleop | 42 | 115 |
| endgame | 63 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 153 | 201 |
Result
Final score
153 – 201
Prediction missed · off by 65.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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