FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.48 – 493.16

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 501

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.6 ±12.7

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 18.24Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 47Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 59.24Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 705.2 ±10.2

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 348.92Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 107.6Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 36.64Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2604, 5559, 2832

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2604, 5559, 2832

Auto

15.4 13%

Teleop

65.8 54%

Endgame

40.2 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 27, 9572, 10672

/ 100 compat

Projected

493.2 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 27, 9572, 10672

Auto

117.4 24%

Teleop

250.9 51%

Endgame

120.8 25%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.5pts

Blue projected score493.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -368.7
Score range: 89–528
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 542 vs event baseline 193.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.6Season APEX705.2

15.4Auto117.4

65.8Teleop250.9

40.2Endgame120.8

23Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	132
teleop	16	255
endgame	0	114
foul	0	0
total	41	501

Result

Final score

41 – 501

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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