FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.72 – 48.34

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287 ±12.2

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 21.85Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 31.43Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 115.44Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185 ±13.9

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 44.48Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 9.13Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -5.27Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5050, 7145, 1481

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5050, 7145, 1481

Auto

35.6 22%

Teleop

80.3 49%

Endgame

47.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4768, 9205, 8623

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4768, 9205, 8623

Auto

21.7 48%

Teleop

17.2 38%

Endgame

6.1 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score168.7pts

Blue projected score48.3pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 120.4
Score range: 13–204
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 156 vs event baseline 194.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287Season APEX185

35.6Auto21.7

80.3Teleop17.2

47.4Endgame6.1

68Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	7
teleop	83	6
endgame	24	2
foul	0	0
total	141	15

Result

Final score

141 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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