FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

145.8 – 313.8

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

173 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.1 ±12.2

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 92.62Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 20.72Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 32.46Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.3 ±12.4

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 211.12Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 41.59Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 61.09Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5843, 6099, 8426

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5843, 6099, 8426

Auto

30.9 21%

Teleop

73.0 50%

Endgame

41.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3538, 8297, 4405

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 8297, 4405

Auto

49.8 16%

Teleop

176.4 57%

Endgame

85.3 27%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.8pts

Blue projected score313.8pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -168
Score range: 111–349
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 389 vs event baseline 194.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.1Season APEX497.3

30.9Auto49.8

73Teleop176.4

41.6Endgame85.3

43Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	59
teleop	70	110
endgame	67	47
foul	15	0
total	173	216

Result

Final score

173 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.