FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.29 – 147.21

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

143 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.9 ±12.8

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 109.34Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX 5.45Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 20.5Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 543 ±11.7

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 107.79Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -26.42Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 65.84Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5533, 10659, 9735

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5533, 10659, 9735

Auto

30.3 22%

Teleop

70.6 50%

Endgame

39.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5907, 11361, 1250

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5907, 11361, 1250

Auto

26.8 18%

Teleop

88.2 59%

Endgame

33.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score135.3pts

Blue projected score147.2pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.9
Score range: 100–182
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 195.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.9Season APEX543

30.3Auto26.8

70.6Teleop88.2

39.9Endgame33.6

75Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	40
teleop	58	137
endgame	57	40
foul	0	0
total	143	217

Result

Final score

143 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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