FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.51 – 96.02

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.6 ±12.1

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 45.51Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 80.96Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 37.04Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.2 ±13.3

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 18.89Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 1.02Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6914Retro5ive

Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 76.11Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5559, 7553, 8115

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5559, 7553, 8115

Auto

24.8 15%

Teleop

99.3 60%

Endgame

42.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11455, 10590, 6914

/ 100 compat

Projected

96 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11455, 10590, 6914

Auto

14.2 15%

Teleop

63.7 66%

Endgame

18.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.5pts

Blue projected score96pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.5
Score range: 61–199
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 196.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.6Season APEX175.2

24.8Auto14.2

99.3Teleop63.7

42.4Endgame18.4

25Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	16
teleop	90	51
endgame	64	8
foul	0	0
total	170	75

Result

Final score

170 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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