FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.66 – 64.73

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 41 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.4 ±13.9

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 32.1Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 34.67Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 8.89Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.7 ±12.2

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 62.29Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 12.72Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -10.28Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7145, 10672, 9205

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7145, 10672, 9205

Auto

29.6 41%

Teleop

11.4 16%

Endgame

31.0 43%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 123, 830, 8623

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 123, 830, 8623

Auto

25.9 42%

Teleop

10.3 17%

Endgame

26.2 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.7pts

Blue projected score64.7pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 10.9
Score range: 29–112
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 197.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.4Season APEX198.7

29.6Auto25.9

11.4Teleop10.3

31Endgame26.2

2Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	41
teleop	26	57
endgame	10	34
foul	15	0
total	61	132

Result

Final score

61 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 41 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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