FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

198.32 – 370.5

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

164 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 53.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 389 ±11.7

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 26.9Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 11.4Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 160.02Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 615.5 ±9.9

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 38.99Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 114.23Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 217.28Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5050, 8427, 6152

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5050, 8427, 6152

Auto

37.9 19%

Teleop

117.2 60%

Endgame

40.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8426, 9572, 3538

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8426, 9572, 3538

Auto

71.2 19%

Teleop

203.8 55%

Endgame

97.8 26%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score198.3pts

Blue projected score370.5pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -172.2
Score range: 163–406
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 462 vs event baseline 197.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

389Season APEX615.5

37.9Auto71.2

117.2Teleop203.8

40Endgame97.8

47Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	79
teleop	84	151
endgame	21	53
foul	25	15
total	164	298

Result

Final score

164 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 53.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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