FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

152.41 – 489.64

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

219 – 553

Prediction correct · off by 65 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.4 ±11.7

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 162.67Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 23.12Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -33.38Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 661.1 ±10

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 58.1Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 344.92Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 86.62Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3414, 9751, 11361

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3414, 9751, 11361

Auto

32.7 21%

Teleop

99.4 65%

Endgame

20.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1250, 27, 5843

/ 100 compat

Projected

489.6 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1250, 27, 5843

Auto

93.2 19%

Teleop

280.2 57%

Endgame

116.0 24%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score152.4pts

Blue projected score489.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -337.2
Score range: 117–525
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 772 vs event baseline 194.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.4Season APEX661.1

32.7Auto93.2

99.4Teleop280.2

20Endgame116

51Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	127
teleop	134	301
endgame	48	125
foul	0	0
total	219	553

Result

Final score

219 – 553

Prediction correct · off by 65 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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