FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.97 – 186.33

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.8 ±13.9

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 26.79Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 50.85Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 55.33Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.3 ±12.7

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 23.17Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 80.96Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 82.2Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5467, 8297, 4768

/ 100 compat

Projected

133 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5467, 8297, 4768

Auto

24.9 19%

Teleop

70.7 55%

Endgame

32.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9735, 7553, 6861

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9735, 7553, 6861

Auto

16.1 9%

Teleop

113.5 62%

Endgame

54.5 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133pts

Blue projected score186.3pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.4
Score range: 98–221
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 230 vs event baseline 196.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.8Season APEX265.3

24.9Auto16.1

70.7Teleop113.5

32.1Endgame54.5

61Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	17
teleop	20	98
endgame	15	60
foul	0	0
total	55	175

Result

Final score

55 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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