FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

312.33 – 125.65

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

301 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 8.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 474.3 ±11.2

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 219.53Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 60.57Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 32.23Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.3 ±12.1

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 38.81Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 36.23Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 50.61Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 123, 10664

/ 100 compat

Projected

312.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 123, 10664

Auto

54.2 17%

Teleop

184.8 59%

Endgame

74.6 24%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8426, 8115, 2832

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8426, 8115, 2832

Auto

33.1 27%

Teleop

58.0 48%

Endgame

30.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score312.3pts

Blue projected score125.7pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 186.7
Score range: 91–347
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 421 vs event baseline 196.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

474.3Season APEX210.3

54.2Auto33.1

184.8Teleop58

74.6Endgame30

10Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	32
teleop	203	54
endgame	49	34
foul	0	0
total	301	120

Result

Final score

301 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 8.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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