FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

412.72 – 165.17

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

438 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 535 ±11.4

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 51.94Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 21.71Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 339.07Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.8 ±12.4

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 159.89Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 6.6Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX -1.32Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4768, 9751, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

412.7 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4768, 9751, 27

Auto

86.7 21%

Teleop

238.3 58%

Endgame

83.9 21%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6152, 9205, 10659

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6152, 9205, 10659

Auto

41.1 25%

Teleop

98.9 61%

Endgame

21.9 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score412.7pts

Blue projected score165.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 247.6
Score range: 130–448
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 630 vs event baseline 194.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

535Season APEX382.8

86.7Auto41.1

238.3Teleop98.9

83.9Endgame21.9

15Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	34
teleop	231	113
endgame	107	45
foul	0	0
total	438	192

Result

Final score

438 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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