FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.54 – 135.55

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 205.7 ±12.7

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX 5.32Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 82.69Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 9.53Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 220.1 ±12.1

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 50.09Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 8.36Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6914Retro5ive

Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 77.1Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10659, 1250, 5050

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10659, 1250, 5050

Auto

10.8 11%

Teleop

51.6 55%

Endgame

32.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5559, 830, 6914

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5559, 830, 6914

Auto

28.5 21%

Teleop

64.2 48%

Endgame

41.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.5pts

Blue projected score135.6pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38
Score range: 60–174
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 212.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

205.7Season APEX220.1

10.8Auto28.5

51.6Teleop64.2

32Endgame41

6Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	8
teleop	40	56
endgame	17	37
foul	0	0
total	67	101

Result

Final score

67 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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