FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.51 – 370.4

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.4 ±13.9

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 73.96Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 20.36Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 34.19Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 640.8 ±9.9

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 55.89Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 158.7Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 155.81Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4405, 2604, 10672

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 2604, 10672

Auto

27.9 23%

Teleop

50.6 41%

Endgame

44.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1250, 3414, 1189

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.4 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1250, 3414, 1189

Auto

63.3 17%

Teleop

228.9 62%

Endgame

77.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.5pts

Blue projected score370.4pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -241.9
Score range: 94–405
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 194.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.4Season APEX640.8

27.9Auto63.3

50.6Teleop228.9

44.5Endgame77.3

29Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	65
teleop	38	232
endgame	60	82
foul	0	0
total	109	379

Result

Final score

109 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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