FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.36 – 123.34

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 10 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.5 ±13.3

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 21.75Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 6.08Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 43.53Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±12.8

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 81.93Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 27.15Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 14.26Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9735, 10590, 5559

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9735, 10590, 5559

Auto

30.2 40%

Teleop

41.2 54%

Endgame

4.3 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5843, 5467, 8427

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5843, 5467, 8427

Auto

32.9 26%

Teleop

66.5 53%

Endgame

26.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.4pts

Blue projected score123.3pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52
Score range: 36–158
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 195.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.5Season APEX242.3

30.2Auto32.9

41.2Teleop66.5

4.3Endgame26.6

71Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	17
teleop	36	59
endgame	19	34
foul	0	0
total	78	110

Result

Final score

78 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 10 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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