FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

147.67 – 198.39

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

190 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 39.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.8 ±11.1

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 8.54Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 112.23Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 26.9Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.7 ±12.7

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 88.42Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 55.06Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 54.91Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 830, 5907, 5050

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 830, 5907, 5050

Auto

38.9 26%

Teleop

73.5 49%

Endgame

36.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7553, 8297, 2832

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7553, 8297, 2832

Auto

15.8 8%

Teleop

114.3 60%

Endgame

58.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.7pts

Blue projected score198.4pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.7
Score range: 113–233
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 196.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.8Season APEX251.7

38.9Auto15.8

73.5Teleop114.3

36.6Endgame58.9

29Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	33
teleop	75	91
endgame	83	38
foul	0	0
total	190	162

Result

Final score

190 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 39.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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