FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.72 – 111.71

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

307 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 98.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.2 ±12.1

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 95.56Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6914Retro5ive

Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 75.13Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 30.03Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.7 ±13.3

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 10.99Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 75.1Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 25.62Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7174, 6914, 8115

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7174, 6914, 8115

Auto

34.6 17%

Teleop

121.1 61%

Endgame

43.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6099, 6861, 7145

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6099, 6861, 7145

Auto

12.7 12%

Teleop

51.4 49%

Endgame

41.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.7pts

Blue projected score111.7pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89
Score range: 77–236
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 195.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.2Season APEX244.7

34.6Auto12.7

121.1Teleop51.4

43.5Endgame41.4

13Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	18
teleop	182	97
endgame	81	87
foul	0	0
total	307	202

Result

Final score

307 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 98.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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