FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.12 – 171.38

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

195 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.3 ±12.2

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 24.17Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 78.8Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 123.15Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.4 ±12.8

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 24.9Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 108.12Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 38.36Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9751, 4405, 5533

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9751, 4405, 5533

Auto

31.4 14%

Teleop

126.3 56%

Endgame

68.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2604, 1481, 10664

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2604, 1481, 10664

Auto

18.8 11%

Teleop

80.1 48%

Endgame

68.5 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score226.1pts

Blue projected score171.4pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.7
Score range: 136–261
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 195.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

302.3Season APEX246.4

31.4Auto18.8

126.3Teleop80.1

68.5Endgame68.5

12Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	41
teleop	97	101
endgame	73	0
foul	0	0
total	195	142

Result

Final score

195 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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