FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.43 – 217.17

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 4.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 115.5 ±13.9

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX 2.94Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 10.39Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 26.1Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.2 ±11.7

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 15.99Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 160.01Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 41.17Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10659, 11455, 5467

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10659, 11455, 5467

Auto

10.0 23%

Teleop

14.8 34%

Endgame

19.3 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8427, 3414, 8426

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8427, 3414, 8426

Auto

60.2 28%

Teleop

117.2 54%

Endgame

40.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.4pts

Blue projected score217.2pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -177.7
Score range: 4–252
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 196.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

115.5Season APEX408.2

10Auto60.2

14.8Teleop117.2

19.3Endgame40.4

118Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	59
teleop	17	134
endgame	11	22
foul	0	0
total	47	215

Result

Final score

47 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 4.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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