FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

714.29 – 219.57

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

723 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 56.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 969.5 ±8.1

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 218.45Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 156.95Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 338.89Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.3 ±11.7

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -5.57Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 165.33Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 59.81Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 6152, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

714.3 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 6152, 27

Auto

139.9 20%

Teleop

414.3 58%

Endgame

159.5 22%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8623, 1189, 5559

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8623, 1189, 5559

Auto

47.2 22%

Teleop

137.4 63%

Endgame

32.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.86 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score714.3pts

Blue projected score219.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 494.7
Score range: 185–749
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 839 vs event baseline 192.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

969.5Season APEX382.3

139.9Auto47.2

414.3Teleop137.4

159.5Endgame32.5

37Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	135	21
teleop	427	35
endgame	161	60
foul	0	0
total	723	116

Result

Final score

723 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 56.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.