FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.46 – 263.09

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.1 ±12.7

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 74.09Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 20.65Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -5.28Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.4 ±9.8

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 64.89Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 86.87Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 111.33Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6861, 5050, 7147

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6861, 5050, 7147

Auto

7.5 10%

Teleop

49.1 62%

Endgame

22.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 123, 5843, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 123, 5843, 5907

Auto

46.1 17%

Teleop

149.2 57%

Endgame

68.5 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.5pts

Blue projected score263.1pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.6
Score range: 54–298
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 194.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.1Season APEX578.4

7.5Auto46.1

49.1Teleop149.2

22.1Endgame68.5

25Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	64
teleop	62	128
endgame	56	42
foul	0	0
total	132	234

Result

Final score

132 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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