FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.25 – 147.18

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.5 ±13.3

6914Retro5ive

Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 68.22Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 19.35Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 37.68Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.1 ±13.3

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 24.71Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 82.63Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 39.84Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6914, 9735, 10672

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6914, 9735, 10672

Auto

28.8 24%

Teleop

61.2 51%

Endgame

30.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10664, 7174, 4768

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10664, 7174, 4768

Auto

34.6 24%

Teleop

87.2 61%

Endgame

22.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.3pts

Blue projected score147.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.9
Score range: 90–182
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 194.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.5Season APEX294.1

28.8Auto34.6

61.2Teleop87.2

30.2Endgame22.1

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	46
teleop	83	133
endgame	41	70
foul	0	0
total	134	249

Result

Final score

134 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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