FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.04 – 57.8

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

200 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.7 ±11.7

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 34.59Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 35.15Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 154.3Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.6 ±13.9

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 16.2Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 35Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 6.6Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10664, 8426, 1189

/ 100 compat

Projected

224 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10664, 8426, 1189

Auto

49.2 22%

Teleop

127.8 57%

Endgame

46.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8427, 6099, 9205

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8427, 6099, 9205

Auto

18.4 33%

Teleop

23.0 41%

Endgame

14.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224pts

Blue projected score57.8pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.2
Score range: 20–262
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 212.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413.7Season APEX169.6

49.2Auto18.4

127.8Teleop23

46.8Endgame14.8

45Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	9
teleop	142	18
endgame	38	13
foul	0	0
total	200	40

Result

Final score

200 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.