FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

123.4 – 250.82

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

180 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 356 ±11.7

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 23.7Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 2.89Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 96.81Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.8 ±12.2

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 131.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 58.73Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 60.55Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8115, 9205, 9572

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8115, 9205, 9572

Auto

41.3 33%

Teleop

55.3 44%

Endgame

29.1 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5533, 1250, 8297

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5533, 1250, 8297

Auto

23.3 9%

Teleop

145.7 59%

Endgame

77.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score123.4pts

Blue projected score250.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127.4
Score range: 88–286
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 194.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

356Season APEX330.8

41.3Auto23.3

55.3Teleop145.7

29.1Endgame77.4

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	19
teleop	83	127
endgame	34	74
foul	0	0
total	180	220

Result

Final score

180 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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