FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.77 – 144.45

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.3 ±12.4

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 141.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 2.08Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 4.33Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.7 ±13.3

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 27.09Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 95.31Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 22.05Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6152, 9735, 11455

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6152, 9735, 11455

Auto

40.4 28%

Teleop

72.2 50%

Endgame

32.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8115, 4405, 6099

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8115, 4405, 6099

Auto

25.9 18%

Teleop

79.5 54%

Endgame

40.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.8pts

Blue projected score144.5pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.3
Score range: 109–183
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 194.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.3Season APEX194.7

40.4Auto25.9

72.2Teleop79.5

32.1Endgame40.6

87Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	23
teleop	146	25
endgame	40	31
foul	0	0
total	235	79

Result

Final score

235 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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