FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

199.15 – 328.14

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 467

Prediction correct · off by 139 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.6 ±12.2

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX 10.26Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 157.24Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 31.65Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 547.2 ±12

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 7.96Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 1.24Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 318.94Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7147, 5533, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7147, 5533, 830

Auto

32.5 17%

Teleop

81.1 41%

Endgame

83.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7145, 10664, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7145, 10664, 27

Auto

93.6 28%

Teleop

165.8 50%

Endgame

69.6 21%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score199.2pts

Blue projected score328.1pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129
Score range: 164–363
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 527 vs event baseline 192.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.6Season APEX547.2

32.5Auto93.6

81.1Teleop165.8

83.3Endgame69.6

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	109
teleop	15	249
endgame	14	109
foul	0	0
total	60	467

Result

Final score

60 – 467

Prediction correct · off by 139 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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