FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.8 – 228.62

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.9 ±13.3

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 15.56Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 16.6Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -6.36Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 509.7 ±11.7

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 95.87Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 121.67Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 11.08Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8115, 5467, 8623

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8115, 5467, 8623

Auto

12.5 48%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

13.4 52%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7174, 5907, 2604

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7174, 5907, 2604

Auto

54.8 24%

Teleop

116.2 51%

Endgame

57.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.8pts

Blue projected score228.6pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -202.8
Score range: -12–267
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 212.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.9Season APEX509.7

12.5Auto54.8

0Teleop116.2

13.4Endgame57.3

85Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	61
teleop	1	107
endgame	8	34
foul	0	0
total	22	202

Result

Final score

22 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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