FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.05 – 116.29

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.2 ±13.3

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -5.96Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 21.23Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 28.78Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.2 ±12.7

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 46.81Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 57.57Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 11.91Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9735, 9751, 2604

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9735, 9751, 2604

Auto

7.4 17%

Teleop

18.9 44%

Endgame

16.3 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8426, 7553, 4768

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8426, 7553, 4768

Auto

31.5 28%

Teleop

64.7 57%

Endgame

16.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.1pts

Blue projected score116.3pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.2
Score range: 8–152
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 198.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.2Season APEX235.2

7.4Auto31.5

18.9Teleop64.7

16.3Endgame16.6

83Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	31
teleop	22	106
endgame	6	28
foul	0	0
total	49	165

Result

Final score

49 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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