FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.13 – 538.42

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 535

Prediction correct · off by 16.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.9 ±12.8

10659Jaguar Byte

Season APEX 28.1Event APEX 17.29Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 21.28Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 80.56Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 672.7 ±10

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 310.9Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 169.52Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 58Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10659, 8427, 123

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10659, 8427, 123

Auto

38.3 33%

Teleop

57.3 49%

Endgame

21.2 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 27, 5533, 7174

/ 100 compat

Projected

538.4 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 27, 5533, 7174

Auto

122.0 23%

Teleop

327.1 61%

Endgame

91.5 17%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.1pts

Blue projected score538.4pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -419.3
Score range: 84–573
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 625 vs event baseline 196.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.9Season APEX672.7

38.3Auto122

57.3Teleop327.1

21.2Endgame91.5

125Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	122
teleop	42	237
endgame	32	176
foul	0	0
total	90	535

Result

Final score

90 – 535

Prediction correct · off by 16.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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