FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.8 – 311.74

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

282 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 604.1 ±10.5

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 128.21Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 37.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 147.66Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458.8 ±11.7

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 65.25Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 234.27Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 12.22Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5907, 6861, 1481

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5907, 6861, 1481

Auto

57.1 18%

Teleop

186.4 60%

Endgame

66.9 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1250, 3538, 10590

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1250, 3538, 10590

Auto

46.2 15%

Teleop

195.9 62%

Endgame

71.5 23%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score313.8pts

Blue projected score311.7pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.1
Score range: 277–349
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 524 vs event baseline 194.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

604.1Season APEX458.8

57.1Auto46.2

186.4Teleop195.9

66.9Endgame71.5

55Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	21
teleop	178	150
endgame	88	71
foul	0	0
total	282	242

Result

Final score

282 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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