Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
75.18 – 0
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
95 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 33.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 55.86Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 5.43Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 13.89Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 46.6Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -52.23Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 0.22Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8297, 6099, 9751
19
/ 100 compatProjected
75.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8297, 6099, 9751
Auto
-12.4 0%
Teleop
65.1 86%
Endgame
23.1 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10672, 11361, 10664
2
/ 100 compatProjected
-5.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10672, 11361, 10664
Auto
-11.3 100%
Teleop
-7.1 100%
Endgame
12.4 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.2pts
Blue projected score-5.4pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 75.2
- Score range
- -36–111
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
206.3Season APEX244.7
-12.4Auto-11.3
65.1Teleop-7.1
23.1Endgame12.4
23Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 12 |
| teleop | 55 | 21 |
| endgame | 18 | 15 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 95 | 48 |
Result
Final score
95 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 33.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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