FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.04 – 265.95

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 19 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.2 ±13.3

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 52.76Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 18.64Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 23.64Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502 ±11.7

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 193.77Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 56.87Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 15.31Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2832, 4768, 8427

/ 100 compat

Projected

95 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2832, 4768, 8427

Auto

31.9 35%

Teleop

44.2 49%

Endgame

14.1 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3414, 7174, 9205

/ 100 compat

Projected

266 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3414, 7174, 9205

Auto

71.0 27%

Teleop

159.8 61%

Endgame

32.5 12%

Strengths

· 3414 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95pts

Blue projected score266pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -170.9
Score range: 60–301
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 196.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.2Season APEX502

31.9Auto71

44.2Teleop159.8

14.1Endgame32.5

63Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	59
teleop	37	163
endgame	14	56
foul	5	0
total	69	278

Result

Final score

69 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 19 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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