FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

239.31 – 202.67

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

266 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 430.4 ±12.4

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 28.29Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 109.22Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 101.8Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.6 ±12.2

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -4.96Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 24.17Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 183.46Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5467, 4405, 6152

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5467, 4405, 6152

Auto

48.2 20%

Teleop

143.2 60%

Endgame

46.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5050, 8623, 5533

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5050, 8623, 5533

Auto

35.9 17%

Teleop

112.0 54%

Endgame

57.8 28%

Strengths

· 5533 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score239.3pts

Blue projected score202.7pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.6
Score range: 168–274
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 195.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

430.4Season APEX219.6

48.2Auto35.9

143.2Teleop112

46Endgame57.8

43Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	15
teleop	137	87
endgame	81	41
foul	0	0
total	266	143

Result

Final score

266 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.