FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

346.52 – 160.27

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

468 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 112.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 581 ±11.4

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 295.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 64.6Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -13.4Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.6 ±12.2

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 100.26Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 50.19Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 9.82Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 5559, 7147

/ 100 compat

Projected

346.5 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 27, 5559, 7147

Auto

77.5 23%

Teleop

186.7 55%

Endgame

76.3 22%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 123, 8115, 9735

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 123, 8115, 9735

Auto

40.3 26%

Teleop

80.4 52%

Endgame

34.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score346.5pts

Blue projected score160.3pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 186.2
Score range: 125–382
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 524 vs event baseline 193.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

581Season APEX208.6

77.5Auto40.3

186.7Teleop80.4

76.3Endgame34.6

36Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	38
teleop	273	9
endgame	92	9
foul	0	0
total	468	56

Result

Final score

468 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 112.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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