Qualification · Qualification 28
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
205.21 – 112.3
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
162 – 155
Prediction correct · off by 43 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 458.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 142.34Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 64.36Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.8Event APEX -1.49Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 73.54Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 24.54Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 14.22Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5907, 8426, 11455
65
/ 100 compatProjected
205.2 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5907, 8426, 11455
Auto
53.1 26%
Teleop
94.8 46%
Endgame
58.8 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5843, 6914, 7145
52
/ 100 compatProjected
112.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5843, 6914, 7145
Auto
21.8 19%
Teleop
55.6 49%
Endgame
35.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score205.2pts
Blue projected score112.3pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 92.9
- Score range
- 77–240
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
458.5Season APEX312.6
53.1Auto21.8
94.8Teleop55.6
58.8Endgame35.6
74Consistency143
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 38 | 18 |
| teleop | 83 | 91 |
| endgame | 41 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 162 | 155 |
Result
Final score
162 – 155
Prediction correct · off by 43 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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