FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

52.95 – 47.92

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 75.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.5 ±12.8

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -49.63Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 30.56Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 72.02Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.6 ±13.3

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -16.8Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 13.07Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 51.65Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7147, 4768, 123

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7147, 4768, 123

Auto

22.6 47%

Teleop

30.8 64%

Endgame

-5.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8623, 8427, 1250

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8623, 8427, 1250

Auto

12.8 27%

Teleop

25.4 53%

Endgame

9.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.9pts

Blue projected score47.9pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5
Score range: 12–89
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 198.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.5Season APEX218.6

22.6Auto12.8

30.8Teleop25.4

-5.6Endgame9.9

49Consistency145

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	27
teleop	39	63
endgame	38	26
foul	15	5
total	131	121

Result

Final score

131 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 75.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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