FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.45 – 169.44

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

499 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 156.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 490.7 ±10.7

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 8.89Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 253.06Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 22.5Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.8 ±11.6

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 113.83Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6914Retro5ive

Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 35.87Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 19.74Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 830, 27, 8115

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 830, 27, 8115

Auto

71.2 25%

Teleop

161.6 57%

Endgame

50.2 18%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1481, 6914, 8426

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1481, 6914, 8426

Auto

23.6 14%

Teleop

113.1 67%

Endgame

31.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score284.5pts

Blue projected score169.4pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115
Score range: 135–318
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 767 vs event baseline 190.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

490.7Season APEX326.8

71.2Auto23.6

161.6Teleop113.1

50.2Endgame31.7

79Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	54
teleop	261	133
endgame	131	81
foul	0	0
total	499	268

Result

Final score

499 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 156.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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