FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162.61 – 169.27

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.2 ±13.9

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 31.74Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 12.85Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 118.02Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.7 ±11.7

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 115.53Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -7.18Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 60.92Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7145, 11455, 4405

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7145, 11455, 4405

Auto

33.1 21%

Teleop

75.2 47%

Endgame

51.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6152, 10672, 5559

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6152, 10672, 5559

Auto

44.0 27%

Teleop

79.3 48%

Endgame

42.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162.6pts

Blue projected score169.3pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.7
Score range: 129–203
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 190.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.2Season APEX438.7

33.1Auto44

75.2Teleop79.3

51.7Endgame42.2

50Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	43
teleop	59	157
endgame	40	46
foul	0	5
total	130	251

Result

Final score

130 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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