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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.62136.93

76%24%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

275161

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 416.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 48.65Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 10.69Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 168.28Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -50.59Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 2.98Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 184.54Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8297, 5050, 3414
71
/ 100 compat
Projected
227.6 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8297, 5050, 3414
Auto
27.3 12%
Teleop
150.6 66%
Endgame
49.5 22%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11361, 9735, 1189
45
/ 100 compat
Projected
136.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 11361, 9735, 1189
Auto
50.8 37%
Teleop
82.1 59%
Endgame
5.9 4%
Strengths
  • · 1189 anchors offense
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score227.6pts
Blue projected score136.9pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
90.7
Score range
103262
Upset likelihood
24%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 189.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

416.2Season APEX404.7
27.3Auto50.8
150.6Teleop82.1
49.5Endgame5.9
114Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5432
teleop16089
endgame6140
foul00
total275161

Result

Final score

275161

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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