Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
227.62 – 136.93
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
275 – 161
Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 416.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 48.65Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 10.69Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 168.28Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -50.59Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 2.98Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 184.54Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8297, 5050, 3414
71
/ 100 compatProjected
227.6 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8297, 5050, 3414
Auto
27.3 12%
Teleop
150.6 66%
Endgame
49.5 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11361, 9735, 1189
45
/ 100 compatProjected
136.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 11361, 9735, 1189
Auto
50.8 37%
Teleop
82.1 59%
Endgame
5.9 4%
Strengths
- · 1189 anchors offense
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score227.6pts
Blue projected score136.9pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 90.7
- Score range
- 103–262
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
416.2Season APEX404.7
27.3Auto50.8
150.6Teleop82.1
49.5Endgame5.9
114Consistency85
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 32 |
| teleop | 160 | 89 |
| endgame | 61 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 275 | 161 |
Result
Final score
275 – 161
Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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