FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.23 – 23.68

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.7 ±12.7

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 28.56Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 38.44Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 54.23Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219 ±13.3

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -44.96Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 23.55Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 45.09Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2832, 5467, 7174

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2832, 5467, 7174

Auto

54.1 45%

Teleop

40.6 34%

Endgame

26.0 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7147, 10590, 9751

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7147, 10590, 9751

Auto

-14.2 0%

Teleop

14.7 69%

Endgame

20.9 98%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.2pts

Blue projected score23.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.6
Score range: -11–156
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 193.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.7Season APEX219

54.1Auto-14.2

40.6Teleop14.7

26Endgame20.9

24Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	15
teleop	99	9
endgame	41	14
foul	0	0
total	171	38

Result

Final score

171 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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