FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.34 – 68.42

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

302 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 165.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.6 ±12.2

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 17.24Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -18.6Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 115.7Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360 ±11.7

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 23.73Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -32.61Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 77.3Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6861, 10664, 5533

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6861, 10664, 5533

Auto

-1.4 0%

Teleop

101.0 87%

Endgame

15.9 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9572, 8623, 7553

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9572, 8623, 7553

Auto

8.5 12%

Teleop

14.7 21%

Endgame

48.3 68%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.3pts

Blue projected score68.4pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.9
Score range: 34–148
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 513 vs event baseline 190.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.6Season APEX360

-1.4Auto8.5

101Teleop14.7

15.9Endgame48.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	42
teleop	179	110
endgame	102	59
foul	0	0
total	302	211

Result

Final score

302 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 165.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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