Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
296.78 – 100.41
92%8%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
263 – 33
Prediction correct · off by 50.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 480.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 82.9Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 177.45Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101Event APEX 36.43Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 41.78Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 13.2Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 45.43Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7553, 3538, 7147
76
/ 100 compatProjected
296.8 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7553, 3538, 7147
Auto
44.4 15%
Teleop
174.8 59%
Endgame
75.5 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10672, 11455, 4768
41
/ 100 compatProjected
100.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10672, 11455, 4768
Auto
18.2 19%
Teleop
53.4 55%
Endgame
25.7 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score296.8pts
Blue projected score100.4pts
Red win probability92%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 196.4
- Score range
- 62–335
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
480.4Season APEX184.6
44.4Auto18.2
174.8Teleop53.4
75.5Endgame25.7
36Consistency10
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 15 |
| teleop | 157 | 10 |
| endgame | 81 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 263 | 33 |
Result
Final score
263 – 33
Prediction correct · off by 50.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.