FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

241.66 – 32.87

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

645 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 211.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 832.1 ±10.2

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX -2.44Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 94.62Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 149.48Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.9 ±13.3

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 55.94Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX -36.31Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 13.24Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4405, 5907, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.7 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 5907, 27

Auto

65.4 27%

Teleop

124.7 52%

Endgame

50.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4768, 6099, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4768, 6099, 830

Auto

4.6 14%

Teleop

14.5 43%

Endgame

14.3 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score241.7pts

Blue projected score32.9pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 208.8
Score range: 0–275
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 698 vs event baseline 181.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

832.1Season APEX149.9

65.4Auto4.6

124.7Teleop14.5

50.2Endgame14.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	146	7
teleop	374	24
endgame	125	22
foul	0	0
total	645	53

Result

Final score

645 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 211.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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