Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
152.29 – 47.62
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
94 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 72.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 41.45Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 68.9Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 41.94Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 29.66Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54Event APEX 7.3Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 10.66Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7145, 1250, 2604
64
/ 100 compatProjected
152.3 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7145, 1250, 2604
Auto
39.1 26%
Teleop
71.4 47%
Endgame
40.6 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6914, 8427, 8297
19
/ 100 compatProjected
47.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6914, 8427, 8297
Auto
17.1 38%
Teleop
37.7 84%
Endgame
-9.9 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score152.3pts
Blue projected score47.6pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 104.7
- Score range
- 15–185
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
223.8Season APEX235.1
39.1Auto17.1
71.4Teleop37.7
40.6Endgame-9.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 13 |
| teleop | 53 | 107 |
| endgame | 41 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 94 | 134 |
Result
Final score
94 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 72.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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